Tories sound alarm over 6.1m population influx to UK by 2036

Long-term net migration reached an eye-watering record of 745,000 in 2022, according to the ONS © Provided by Daily Mail
Long-term net migration reached an eye-watering record of 745,000 in 2022, according to the ONS
© Provided by Daily Mail
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Taking off UK movement will put gigantic ‘pressure’ on lodging, schools and the NHS without activity to check numbers, senior Tories have cautioned.

Politicians on the right have sounded the caution after eye-watering projections demonstrated that the populace is presently due to hit 70 million by 2026 – a decade prior than already thought.

The Office for National Statistics estimates numbers will go from 67million in mid-2021 to reach 73.7million by 2036, with 6.1million of that growth down to net migration.

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak facing increasingly shrill calls to act after figures suggested 156,000 homes a year will be needed just to accommodate inflows.

And there are warnings that the health service, already buckling, will struggle to accommodate the extra numbers, while schools in some areas may be unable to award places to local children. According to the Migration Observatory, in 2019 there were more than a million children living in the UK who were non-UK or Irish citizens.
Former home secretary Suella Braverman said: ‘These numbers are too high, placing pressure on schools, the NHS and housing.

Recent government measures will help a bit but they’re very late. We need a cap on overall numbers so we can hold government to account and fix this problem.’

Her comments were echoed by Robert Jenrick, who resigned as immigration minister over the Government’s watered-down Rwanda asylum plans.

He said: ‘From 2028, they forecast net migration at 315,000. This will only deepen the housing crisis.

‘There is no democratic consent for this outcome. After leaving the EU, the power to change this, and set us on course for far more sustainable numbers, is in Parliament’s hands.’

According to calculations from the Centre for Policy Studies, the predicted level of population growth will require at least 5.7million more homes in England over the next 15 years.

Around 41 per cent of that – 2.34million homes, or 156,000 a year – is accounted for net migration.

On the health side, there were 27,487 fully qualified, full-time equivalent GPs working in England in December, equating to one GP for every 2,078 patients, on average. However, a ratio of 1,800 patients per GP is widely recognised by industry bodies as the ‘safe limit’.

As it stands, another 4,238 GPs would need to be recruited to meet this ratio, MailOnline analysis suggests.

However, the ONS projects there will be an extra 6.6million people living in the UK as of 2036.

Assuming this growth kept in line with current demographic trends, this would see England’s population hit 62.2million.

Under this figure, 34,536 GPs would have to be working in the NHS to meet the one per 1,800 patient ratio, meaning an additional 7,076 family doctor positions are required over the next 12 years.


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Dulal Ahmed Chowdhury

Dulal Ahmed Chowdhury is the Editor of The Daily Dazzling Dawn. Previously, he has been serving in important positions in all the famous national dailies of the Bangladesh since the nineties. He has played a commendable role in journalism by participating in various events at the national and international levels. United Nations Conference, World Climate Conference, SAARC Summit are notable among them.

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