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Labour faces general election catastrophe as bombshell poll predicts hung parliament

December 04, 2024
Labour faces general election catastrophe as bombshell poll predicts hung parliament

A shocking poll has projected that a general election staged now, amid chaos for Sir Keir Starmer's Government, might wipe out Labour's large majority.251 new seats were added to their 174-seat majority in July, while the Conservatives saw their worst-ever performance with only 121 seats. Even though Labour's vote share was only 1.6% higher than in 2019, the magnitude of the party's victory gave many people the impression that it would rule for a generation.But according to an Electoral Calculus survey, Labour would lose 100 seats if a national poll were to be conducted right now due to a number of scandals, including the removal of winter heating payments for the majority of pensioners, Daily Dazzling Dawn understand.Its forecast said Labour would end up with 311 seats - 15 short of a majority and virtually neck-and-neck with the Conservatives in terms of share of the vote, with 27.6% and 26.9% respectively.Labour would still easily be the largest party, it said, with the Tories predicted to get 207 and the Liberal Democrats falling slightly from 72 currently to 68.

Under the prediction, released at the end of November, Nigel Farage's Reform UK would more than double its number of seats from five to 12 and increase its vote share from 14.7% to 19.5%."Labour's poll lead over the Conservatives has dwindled down to 1%, according to the recent polls," said Electoral Calculus.

"That has reduced so much that Labour would no longer have a majority in the House of Commons if there were an imminent election.terms of votes, but the Conservatives would do better in terms of seats."

Sir Keir and Labour have been repeatedly slammed for their decisions. The cutting of the universal £300 winter fuel payment has been described as "cruel", especially given rising energy bills.

However, the PM and Chancellor Rachel Reeves have said the tough decisions are necessary, blaming a £22billion black hole left behind by the Conservatives.

Sir Keir was also roundly criticised for accepting freebies, including thousands of pounds of clothing and multiple pairs of glasses from millionaire Labour donor Lord Waheed Alli.

The Prime Minister later faced pressure after Louise Haigh quit as transport secretary following revelations that she was convicted of misleading police about a stolen phone before she became an MP.

The Prime Minister is seemingly more unpopular than ever after an Opinium survey put his net approval rating at -32%.

The pollster said there was a "significant uptick in the number disapproving of his performance" after a month in which farmers protested against "unfair" inheritance tax changes.

Later this week, the Labour leader will make a big speech dubbed a "plan for change", which will outline a major reset for the Government.

Sir Keir said: "This plan for change is the most ambitious yet honest programme for government in a generation.

"Mission-led government does not mean picking milestones because they are easy or will happen anyway. It means relentlessly driving real improvements in the lives of working people."